Ethereum (ETH) price is trading above $2,000 as March prepares to close with its first green monthly candle since August 2025, potentially snapping a six-month losing streak. However, how March closes could set the tone for April and even the rest of 2026. Historically, April has been a solid month for ETH with average gains of 18% and a median of roughly 9%. Yet the 3-day chart, on-chain conviction, and whale behavior all suggest the path into April carries more risk than seasonality would imply